South Texas Could Get 2 to 4 Inches of Much-Needed Rain Near and North of Laredo Through the Weekend, While North Texas and the Panhandle Stay Mostly Dry
SAN ANTONIO, TEXAS — Much-needed rain is finally returning to parts of Texas. Forecasts call for 0.50 to 1.5 inches of rain across the southwestern half of the state, with 2 to 4 inches possible in areas near and north of Laredo through the weekend.
While the rain will be welcome for many dry areas, locally heavy downpours could lead to flooding concerns where the highest totals fall.
Forecast Window: Friday Through Wednesday Evening
The five-day rainfall forecast, based on Weather Prediction Center data, runs through 6 p.m. Wednesday, November 11, 2026, and was updated at 1:52 p.m. CST on Friday, November 6.
Projected Rain Totals Across Texas
| Area | Forecast Rainfall |
|---|---|
| Between San Antonio and Laredo | About 2 to 4 inches |
| Near and north of Laredo | About 2 to 4 inches |
| San Antonio | About 1.5 to 2 inches |
| Corpus Christi | About 1.5 inches |
| Austin | About 1 to 1.5 inches |
| Houston | About 0.5 to 1 inch |
| Brownsville and the Rio Grande Valley | About 0.5 to 1 inch |
| Midland and El Paso | About 0.25 to 0.5 inch |
| Abilene | About 0.25 inch |
| Waco and Dallas | About 0.1 to 0.25 inch |
| Tyler and East Texas | Little rain |
| Lubbock, Amarillo and Wichita Falls | Little to no rain |
Heaviest Rain Targets South-Central Texas
The highest totals are focused in a zone stretching southwest of San Antonio toward Laredo, where 3 to 4 inches could fall in spots. That area includes parts of the Brush Country and southern edges of the Hill Country.
Welcome Relief for Dry Areas
Much of southwest Texas has been dry, so this rain could help:
- Refresh soil moisture for ranchers and farmers
- Boost stock ponds and small reservoirs
- Green up pastures heading into winter
- Ease drought in hard-hit counties
Flooding Possible Where Rain Is Heaviest
Where totals approach 3 to 4 inches, flooding could become a concern, especially in:
- Low-water crossings
- Creeks and drainage areas
- Urban streets with poor drainage
Not Everyone Will See Rain
Forecasters caution that rain will not be evenly spread. Some areas may get heavy downpours, while others nearby see little or nothing. North Texas, including Dallas-Fort Worth, and the Panhandle are expected to stay mostly dry.
Gulf Moisture Fueling the Storms
The rain is being driven by moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, which is expected to bring heavy rain and thunderstorms to South Texas, especially on Sunday.
Flood Safety Reminders
- Turn around, don’t drown at flooded crossings
- Avoid driving at night during heavy rain
- Keep weather alerts on for flash flood warnings
- Stay away from rising creeks
Outlook: Drier Pattern Returns Midweek
Rain chances are expected to taper off by midweek, with a drier pattern returning for much of Texas after Wednesday.
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