Florida Braces for First Real Taste of Cold Next Weekend as Temperatures Could Run 10 to 20 Degrees Below Normal and Wind Chills Drop Into the 30s North of I-4
ORLANDO, FLORIDA — After a warm and stormy start to November, Florida could get its first real taste of cold this season next weekend. A strong cold front is expected to push through the state, with temperatures running 10 to 20 degrees below average and dry, winter-like air settling in.
North of the I-4 corridor, gusty winds could make it feel like the 30s and 40s.
Forecast Timing: Sunday Morning, November 15
The forecast highlights conditions around 7 a.m. EST Sunday, November 15, 2026, when the coldest air is expected to be in place behind the front.
How Cold It Could Feel Sunday Morning
Forecast “feels-like” temperatures, which factor in wind chill, show:
| Area | Feels-Like Temperature |
|---|---|
| Southern Georgia and Alabama | About 27 to 35°F |
| Florida Panhandle and Tallahassee area | About 30 to 38°F |
| Jacksonville and Northeast Florida | About 35 to 40°F |
| North-Central Florida | About 35 to 40°F |
| I-4 corridor, Tampa to Orlando | About 40 to 46°F |
| South-Central Florida | About 44 to 51°F |
| Southeast Florida coast | About 55 to 58°F |
| Florida Keys | About 65 to 68°F |
Temperatures Well Below Normal Across the State
Forecast temperature departures for Sunday morning show nearly the entire state running far below average:
| Area | Below Normal |
|---|---|
| North and Central Florida | About 15 to 16.5°F below normal |
| Florida Panhandle | About 14 to 16°F below normal |
| Tampa Bay and Southwest Florida | About 13 to 16°F below normal |
| Southeast Florida | About 13 to 15°F below normal |
| Florida Keys | About 7°F below normal |
Wind Chills in the 30s and 40s North of I-4
The combination of cold air and wind could push wind chills into the 30s and 40s for areas north of I-4, including:
- Tallahassee and the Panhandle
- Jacksonville and Gainesville
- Ocala and Daytona Beach areas
Low Humidity Brings Crisp, Dry Air
Forecasters say the incoming air mass will feature winter-level humidity, meaning very dry air. That can make mornings feel colder and afternoons feel crisp and refreshing compared to the muggy weather Florida has dealt with recently.
A Sharp Change After a Wet, Warm Start to November
This possible cold snap would follow a stretch of heavy rain and flooding across parts of Florida, including over 20 inches of rain in Palm Bay and more than 300% of normal rainfall along the Space Coast in the past month.
Forecast Still More Than a Week Away
This outlook is based on one forecast model looking about eight days ahead, so details could change. Forecasters say they will fine-tune the forecast as the weekend gets closer, but the overall signal points to a notable cool-down.
How Floridians Can Prepare for the Chill
- Pull out jackets and blankets for early mornings
- Protect tender plants and tropical landscaping
- Bring pets indoors overnight
- Check on older neighbors and those without heat
- Test your heater before cold mornings arrive
Outlook: Florida’s First Cool Weekend of the Season
If the forecast holds, next weekend could bring Florida its first truly cool weather of the season, especially across North and Central Florida.
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