Texas Could See Snow, Sleet and Freezing Rain the Day Before Thanksgiving in One Long-Range Forecast, but Forecasters Say It Is Far From Certain
DALLAS, TEXAS — Texas may be in the conversation for a wintry Thanksgiving. One new long-range forecast shows what could be the first notable snowstorm setup of the 2026-2027 winter season, with snow, sleet and freezing rain spreading across parts of the state on Wednesday, November 25, 2026, the day before Thanksgiving.
The forecast is still about 12 days away, so details are highly uncertain.
What the Forecast Shows
| Detail | What the Forecast Shows |
|---|---|
| Forecast issued | Friday, November 13, 2026 |
| Valid time | 6 a.m. CST Wednesday, November 25 |
| Lead time | About 12 days |
| Main threat | Mixed winter precipitation across Texas |
| Air pressure to the north | Strong high pressure near 1026 to 1028 millibars |
Snow Across West and North-Central Texas
The forecast shows a broad area of snow stretching across:
- West Texas, including parts of the Permian Basin
- The Big Country and Concho Valley
- Areas west and southwest of Dallas-Fort Worth
The heaviest snow in this forecast is centered over north-central Texas, west of the I-35 corridor.
Sleet Across Central and East Texas
East of the snow zone, the forecast shows a wide area of sleet across:
- Central Texas
- Areas south and east of Dallas-Fort Worth
- Parts of East Texas
Sleet can quickly make roads and bridges dangerous, even if amounts are light.
Freezing Rain Pockets and Coastal Rain
The forecast also shows small pockets of freezing rain in southeast Texas, north of the Houston area. Closer to the coast, including Houston, Galveston and Corpus Christi, precipitation falls mainly as rain.
Strong Cold Air Pushing South
A strong area of high pressure over the southern Plains helps drive cold air deep into Texas in this forecast. That matches other recent long-range outlooks showing a possible Arctic blast across the South during Thanksgiving week, with temperatures running 13 to 18 degrees below normal in parts of Texas.
Why Forecasters Urge Caution
Forecasts this far out often change a lot:
- Storm tracks can shift by hundreds of miles
- Cold air may arrive earlier, later or be weaker
- Snow can turn into rain with just a few degrees of difference
Other recent outlooks have shown a warmer and wetter pattern for parts of the South during Thanksgiving week, highlighting how unsettled the forecast remains.
Bad Timing for Holiday Travel
If wintry weather does develop, it could hit during one of the busiest travel days of the year. Possible impacts include:
- Icy roads on I-20, I-35 and I-45
- Flight delays at DFW and Dallas Love Field
- Power concerns if cold and ice hit at the same time
How Texans Can Prepare Now
- Watch forecast updates closely over the next week
- Keep holiday travel plans flexible
- Prepare vehicles with emergency kits
- Protect pipes if hard freezes are forecast
- Stay informed on any power grid alerts
Outlook: A Signal Worth Watching
For now, this is a long-range signal, not a forecast to bank on. But with several outlooks pointing toward colder air during Thanksgiving week, Texans should keep a close eye on the forecast.
Stay with Bchssreport.com for the latest updates on this story.
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