Rain, Thunderstorms, and a Strong Cold Front Expected Across Texas October 15 Through 17, Bringing 1 to 2 Inches of Rain and Highs in the 60s
Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas – After a stretch of summer-like heat, a big change is on the way for North Texas and much of the Lone Star State. The next storm system is about a week away, with rain and thunderstorms expected to return by next Thursday, October 15, ahead of a strong cold front. That front is expected to bring heavy rain by Friday, October 16, along with falling temperatures. Rain totals of 1 to 2 inches are possible, followed by a much cooler weekend, with highs possibly only in the 60s as a true fall front finally arrives.
Storms Arrive Thursday
Rain and thunderstorms are expected to develop by Thursday, October 15, as moisture returns ahead of the approaching cold front. The forecast shows storms possible across a wide area of Texas, including West Texas near Lubbock and Abilene, North Texas near Dallas, Fort Worth, Denton, and Paris, and Central Texas near Waco, Kerrville, and Bryan.
Storms may also extend into East Texas near Tyler, Lufkin, and Palestine, and into parts of Louisiana, including areas near Beaumont, Lake Charles, and Lafayette.
Heavy Rain Friday With Falling Temperatures
The strongest part of the system is expected on Friday, October 16, when the cold front moves through. The front is expected to set up a period of heavy rain, and temperatures will fall throughout the day as cooler air pushes in behind it.
This means some areas may see their highest temperatures early in the day, followed by dropping temperatures during the afternoon as rain and wind arrive.
How Much Rain Could Fall?
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are possible across parts of North Texas and surrounding areas. The rain is not expected to be as heavy as the soaking rain that fell at the start of October, when moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Polo brought widespread heavy rain to Texas and Oklahoma.
Still, 1 to 2 inches of rain would be welcome after a dry stretch, helping lawns, gardens, and farms.
Much Cooler Next Weekend
The biggest change will come behind the front. Next weekend, from Saturday, October 17 into Sunday, is expected to be much cooler across North Texas. Highs could be stuck in the 60s, a dramatic difference from the 90-degree heat expected in the days before.
That would bring a true fall feel to the region for the first time this season, with crisp mornings and comfortable afternoons.
A Big Swing in Temperatures
Before the front arrives, North Texas is expected to see a few more 90-degree days this weekend and into early next week, thanks to a ridge of high pressure overhead. Going from the 90s to the 60s in just a few days would be a temperature drop of around 30 degrees, something many North Texans have been waiting for.
Severe Weather Possible?
With thunderstorms developing ahead of a strong cold front, some storms could produce heavy rain, gusty winds, lightning, and possibly small hail. It is too early to know whether severe storms will be a concern, but forecasters will be watching closely as the system gets closer.
Plan Ahead for Weekend Events
The timing of the front could affect several weekend events, including Friday night high school football games, the State Fair of Texas, college football, and fall festivals. Anyone with outdoor plans on Thursday or Friday should keep an eye on the forecast and have a backup plan in case of storms.
The cooler weekend will be great for outdoor activities once the rain moves out, though a jacket may be needed for evening events.
Flooding Concerns
Heavy rain falling quickly can lead to street flooding, especially in urban areas like Dallas and Fort Worth, where drainage can be overwhelmed. Drivers should never drive through flooded roads, as just a small amount of moving water can sweep a vehicle away.
Time to Get Ready for Fall
With a true fall front on the way, now is a great time to get homes ready for cooler weather. Residents may want to check heating systems, replace air filters, and pull out jackets and sweaters for the cooler days ahead.
Forecast Could Still Change
Since the system is still about a week away, details on timing, rainfall totals, and temperatures could change. Residents should keep checking for updates as the front gets closer.
For more North Texas weather updates and seasonal forecasts, stay with bchssreport.com.